HOUSTON, July 13, 2022--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Tellurian Inc. (Tellurian) (NYSE American: TELL) announced today that its wholly owned subsidiary Tellurian Production LLC (TPC) has entered into an agreement to purchase natural gas assets from privately held EnSight IV Energy Partners, LLC and EnSight Haynesville Partners, LLC (collectively EnSight) located in the Haynesville Shale. One of the top executives at Houston-based liquefied natural gas export hopeful Tellurian Inc. (Nasdaq: TELL) has left the company. This is especially true when you consider that all of the capacity for the Phase 1 of Driftwood LNG was already committed to prior to the terminal ever breaking ground. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. In August, TELL did a secondary share offering worth $35 million. So, the placement of a stock in the top 20% of the Zacks-covered stocks indicates its superior earnings estimate revision feature, making it a solid candidate for producing market-beating returns in the near term. See here for a complete list of exchanges and delays. It would be one thing if this were one of multiple projects the company had in the works or if it was already well-established in the space. No gimmicks. Is this happening to you frequently? Additionally, Wall Street analysts are generally bullish on the stock, and the consensus price target indicates that it could double in price over the next year. FREE. Weighing on theliquefied natural gas (LNG) stockwas news that it pulled a bond offering and terminated two sales contracts as it shifted the financing strategy for its proposed Driftwood LNG project. The upgrade of Tellurian Inc. to a Zacks Rank #2 positions it in the top 20% of the Zacks-covered stocks in terms of estimate revisions, implying that the stock might move higher in the near term. The Zacks Rank stock-rating system, which uses four factors related to earnings estimates to classify stocks into five groups, ranging from Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record, with Zacks Rank #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Every passing day, the Tellurian Inc. tale becomes more of a pipe dream. I provide a hand-holding service. Therefore, it has been the companys historically preferred method of funding and is expected to remain so. In the past, Tellurian wanted partners like TotalEnergies to invest in its Driftwood project, which will include a liquefaction plant, pipelines and natural gas production. Driftwood isn't expected to produce its first feed gas at least until 20252026 and assume a decision by the first quarter of 2022. Morgan said that while the company is "still far from out of the game," given its approvals and contracts, it's unclear where it goes next. These assets provide Tellurian with both cash flow and a physical hedge for Driftwood LNG. Also I will say, my old Panera went out of business due to COVID, and I transferred to a new one. Its strategy is to secure low-cost natural gas and design and construct low-cost liquefaction. Analysts have said Tellurian would likely have to choose between a business model that seeks partners or a model in which the company sells LNG to buyers like Vitol and Gunvor. Making the world smarter, happier, and richer. CERAWeek returned in-person to Houston celebrating its 40th anniversary with the theme "Pace of Change: Energy, Climate, and Innovation." I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. Upstream is part of DN Media Group AS. For example, Stifel analyst Benjamin Nolan lowered that firm's price target from $3 per share to $2 while keeping a sell rating. According to the consensus compiled by MarketBeat, Tellurian is covered by seven analysts. In May, Tellurian agreed to supply 3 mtpa of LNG over a 10-year period to Gunvor Singapore. After news broke that a critical financing round for the company was shut down by management because of what management referred to as uncertainty in the junk bond market, the company was left with a lack of capital needed to fund its $12.8 billion Driftwood LNG project. I follow countless companies and select for you the most attractive investments. Tellurian shares plunged Tuesday on news the Houston liquefied natural gas company scrapped plans for a public offering that would have helped fund its Tellurian is based in Houston, Texas, and its common stock is listed on the NYSE American under the symbol "TELL". Unlike the overly optimistic Wall Street analysts whose rating systems tend to be weighted toward favorable recommendations, the Zacks rating system maintains an equal proportion of 'buy' and 'sell' ratings for its entire universe of more than 4000 stocks at any point in time. 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I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. Souki has in the past over-promised and under-delivered. 08/15/2009. The death notice came nearly a year to the day after Lord & Taylor was acquired by fashion-rental startup Le Tote, and 25 days after The end result, management said, would be a facility that helps meet growing demand for LNG that is certain to outpace the growth in supply. Combined with the company's other assets, this kind of EBITDA generation would require around $330 million annually in order to achieve. The Tellurian price target of $7 implies 131% upside potential. Financially it is a unique project. You'll now be able to see real-time price and activity for your symbols on the My Quotes of Nasdaq.com. In March of this year, the company officially began the construction of Driftwood LNG, despite only having 30% of the detailed engineering work completed. While management is trying to work ways around this problem, there is no guarantee that there will be a favorable outcome for shareholders. High upside energy, commodity, tech, and dividend stocks. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. The company showcased a strong balance sheet and ended the quarter with approximately $210.8 million in cash and cash equivalents and zero debt. The change in a company's future earnings potential, as reflected in earnings estimate revisions, and the near-term price movement of its stock are proven to be strongly correlated. First post here. It cannot stand to hemorrhage cash like it has been in perpetuity if it's not funding this with outside capital. Written by Ransom must take on an evil force to save a utopian planet in Perelandra, the second book in C.S. Tellurian provided a subsequent update to its financing strategy in late September, shifting its priority to securing equity partners. The average Tellurian stock price prediction forecasts a potential upside of 164.23% from the current TELL share price of $1.23. But this was the big gamble of the enterprise and, without it, the company is losing a significant amount of cash each year. Disclosure: At the time of publication, Samuel Smith did not have a position in any of the securities mentioned in this article. Not long ago, Tellurian reported that it reduced the companys debt by $57 billion. Investors might want to bet on Tellurian Inc. (TELL), as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). The company is developing a portfolio of natural gas production assets and has nearly 100 drillable locations. Recall, Tellurian needs about $12-$13 billion of capital to build its Driftwood project, before inflation. August 06, 2021 12:33 PM Eastern Daylight Time. That increased investor concern about how the company might fund its proposed export facility. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. Invest better with The Motley Fool. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. We use cookies in a variety of ways to improve your experience, such as keeping NHST websites reliable and secure, personalising content and ads and to analyse how our sites are being used. Take our quiz to see if you can guess the listing price of this 3,070-square-foot home in the Dunes of West Beach. The Company is unable to present a reconciliation of forward-looking asset-level EBITDA because certain components of the calculation are subject to change. If you have an ad-blocker enabled you may be blocked from proceeding. Tellurian shares plunged after it scrapped fundraising plans for its Driftwood LNG project. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). The words "anticipate," "assume," "believe," "budget," "estimate," "expect," "forecast," "initial," "intend," "may," "plan," "potential," "project," "proposed," "should," "will," "would," and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Also, Williams-Derry said, other projects impose a fixed liquefaction fee that guarantees steady income over the contract's term. Unfortunately, the historical financial performance of the company more broadly has not been that impressive. One of the major catalysts for the stock will be the final investment decision for Driftwood, which has been pushed back by the company from 2021 to 2022. The company plans to produce roughly 70 million cubic feet equivalent per day (mmcfed) by the end of 2021. Going forward, a lot will depend on the FID. As part of that strategy, the Although seeking equity investors could definitely get the job done, the question becomes one of the cost to current shareholders. Part of this decline is due to the companys share offering in August. Apples default Weather app briefly went down for many users on Tuesday morning, showing blank screens with no data. Apr 5, 2023 9:36 AM, PSYC's Psychedelic Spotlight Closes Strong Q1 With New KPI Records in March The change will mean delays, at the very least, for the companys planned Driftwood LNG export terminal in Louisiana. Offers may be subject to change without notice. Winston & Company LLC, a regulatory filing shows. "With Henry Hub $7 or $8, they're going to have to raise even more money to lock in the best properties, which everybody's already clamoring for," he said. Tellurian will build an LNG production and export facility in Lake Charles, La. Meanwhile, last week, Tellurian had to deposit approximately $170 million of cash to meet convertible redemptions. TNRG Click to get this free report, Tellurian Inc. (TELL) : Free Stock Analysis Report. Recall, Tellurian needs about $12-$13 billion of capital to build its Driftwood project, before inflation. Re: fink TipRanks->. *Average returns of all recommendations since inception. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. When the train really went off the rails was later in the month of August when the company announced another move. These statements involve a number of known and unknown risks, which may cause actual results to differ materially from expectations expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. The analyst noted the company's inability to raise capital even at a high cost "simply reinforces the challenge of capital raising and challenging prospects of the project attracting a strategic investor.". Disclaimer:The information contained in this article represents the views and opinion of the writer only, and not the views or opinion of TipRanks or its affiliates Read full disclaimer >. Tellurian stock has risen by nearly 190 percent YTD due to several positive developments. 2022 revenue: $148.30 billion. And with an enterprise value right now of $1.69 billion, TELL stock is already priced at levels that would be realistic for the amount of EBITDA the company can generate. It is not a wise move for an enterprise that has massive checks to write and little to no funding to back them. A company's changing earnings picture is at the core of the Zacks rating. "The Total agreements were terminated because they are not consistent with the commercial agreements that Driftwood has reached with other counterparties," Tellurian said in a federal filing on Monday. However, shares could have further to fall if it can't finance that project. This compares to the $7.3 million in revenue Shares ofTellurian(TELL -5.89%) plummeted 40.3% in September, according to data provided byS&P Global Market Intelligence. But he reiterated that the fundamentals of the project remain strong. We use your data to ensure you have a secure and enjoyable user experience when visiting our site. Shares tumbled by 24 percent to less than $3 on Tuesday as analysts and investors questioned the project's fate. Tellurian's fee rate is variable, exposing it to the market. Great chart showing how coal prices should increase with LNG prices.$LNG $TELL $TGA $BTU $AR $CRK https://t.co/SazUOygfKk. Forward-looking statements herein relate to, among other things, the capacity, timing, and other aspects of the Driftwood LNG project, the timing and anticipated benefits of the EnSight acquisition, future production, costs, cash flows, returns and asset-level EBITDA, and future capital expenditures, wells, locations and development activities. Meanwhile, in the background, Souki continues to incessantly liquidate his holding in Tellurian. Although Tellurian may from time to time voluntarily update its prior forward-looking statements, it disclaims any commitment to do so except as required by securities laws. The company estimates that it will begin export operations by 2023. The odd offering and its withdrawal was par for the course for Tellurian, which is known to place risky bets, said Clark Williams-Derry, an energy finance analyst for the Institute of Energy Economics and Financial Analysis. Soukis admission and change of vision for the company came a week after Tellurian withdrew a failed bond raise intended to bring in $1 billion, saw its share price crash and had two long-term LNG export contracts terminated. That means no money is going to come into my business," the 29-year-old said. Screen for heightened risk individual and entities globally to help uncover hidden risks in business relationships and human networks. This will come in the form of $3.5 billion of equity, approximately Philadelphia and its suburbs are averaging $3. It would be one thing if this were one of multiple projects the company had in the works or if it was already well-established in the space. Please. Wednesday, April 05, 2023 1:47:32 PM. They've already made the pivot from LNG business that can't make money to an NG business that can't make money. The booksellers closure comes as Amazon (AMZN) is making drastic cuts to its workforce to reduce costs. The high-risk business model that makes it interesting may also be unattractive to banks because of the potential downside, he said. It also plans to drill 12 to 14 natural gas wells that are expected to produce 220 mmcfed by the end of Fiscal Year 2022. Tellurian, which said it produced 14.3 billion cubic feet (bcf) of natural gas last year, ended 2021 with $305.5 million in liquidity. Please disable your ad-blocker and refresh. Investors should approach this with caution. Citing a series of tactical mistakes, Tellurian co-founder Charif Souki said on Tuesday the company should be considered a healthy domestic natural gas producer with the objective of eventually becoming an international liquefied natural gas exporter. After this, the situation started to change some. "I don't wanna say it's a deal killer, but it is a major strike against Driftwood's financial viability," he said. Never mind the fact that in the second quarter of this year, investments in production helped to increase natural gas output by 47% compared to the first quarter of this year. (5) Management estimate of total reserves and contingent resources as of August 1, 2022 (using June 30, 2022 NYMEX strip pricing and cost information as of July 6, 2022) in accordance with the definitions and guidelines set forth in the 2018 PRMS. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. The company also has cash in excess of debt of $229.6 million. That particular set of assets helped to increase the company's upstream net acreage from 15,000 to 20,000 and to increase its natural gas production from 270 MMcf per day to 350 MMcf per day. It intended to use the proceeds to support the construction of its Driftwood LNG project. Long-stalled projects such as NextDecades Rio Grande LNG and Energy Transfers Lake Charles LNG have nearly caught up with Tellurian in the race to woo buyers. Wednesday, April 05, 2023 1:47:32 PM. Needless to say, such a significant amount of cash flow would propel Tellurian into the stratosphere from a share price perspective. Meanwhile, Evercore ISI analyst Sean Morgan slashed that firm's price target from $5 to $2.50. However, the firm may have one opportunity to salvage its operations. I do still find myself scratching my head as to why the deal ultimately fell through. Meanwhile, Tellurian's ebullient Chairman Charif Souki continues to make countless assertions on his YouTube channel, including that investor appetite is there. In the past few months, Souki has been relentlessly selling his stock to cover a margin loan. Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles. Based on the $1 billion in financing the company wanted to raise, this would ultimately dilute investors in the company by 11.7% and at a price that would represent only a 20% premium over the 30-day volume weighted average price of the firm's stock at the time the deal closed. 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