In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. DeSantis: Standing Up to Corporate Activism. One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . Pennsylvania has an middling number of people with four-year college degrees. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Report that just went out from the Pennsylvania Election Protection Coalition on issues today in the state: "Among the issues: Several polling places opened late. Is Wisconsin a red state? Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. The Midwest has five states in the East North Central part of the region and seven in the West North Central. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. But What about Investing in Bonds? Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. VOA explains. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. [1] The feature proved to be so popular that, four years later, all three major television networks used colors to designate the states won by the presidential candidates, though not all using the same color scheme. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. Traditionally, the practice of designating a U.S. state as red or blue is based on the first-past-the-post winner-take-all system employed for presidential elections by 48 of the 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. It is not a red state. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. Vice versa for Montana. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. Map of election results. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Biden won by larger margins than Clinton in every county that voted for her except for Philadelphia, where he won by about 4,000 fewer votes than Democrats had in 2016. These are general election results for the years listed. What are red and blue states? Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. But registration figures vary greatly by county. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? The following list is tabled from the last Presidential Election 2020. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. ", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State", https://web.archive.org/web/20061122124004/http://www.princeton.edu/~petehill/time-election-map-1996.jpg, "Those Special Election Bells, Whistles and, Yes, Some Numbers, Too", "A Divided Government Remains, and With It the Prospect of Further Combat", "Learn the signs of your political colors", "Ideas & Trends; One State, Two State, Red State, Blue State Page 2 New York Times", "Rules and Principles of Scientific Data Visualization", "Keynote Address at the 2004 Democratic National Convention", "Maps and cartograms of the 2004 U.S. presidential election results", "We Are All Purple: The Destructive Lie of Red States and Blue States", "Cartographic variations on the presidential election 2000 theme", "For a Conservative, Life Is Sweet in Sugar Land, Tex", "Electorally competitive counties have grown scarcer in recent decades", "The Divide Between Red and Blue America Grew Even Deeper in 2016", "For Most Americans, the Local Presidential Vote Was a Landslide", "Are close presidential elections the new normal? For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. In the 2000 election, Bush received a smaller share of the popular vote than Al Gore, and four years later defeated John Kerry by this count by less than two and a half percentage points. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. This may have been a holdover from the Civil War, during which the predominantly Republican north was considered "blue". Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. Blue States No. Again competitive in 2020, Joe Biden won by 1.2%. [15][16][17] NBC used the color blue for the incumbent party, which is why blue represented the Democrats in 2000. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. #V. The elections in Arkansas as well as West Virginia in 2004 were won by Republican President George W. Bush, but Democrats at the time held all four U.S. Senate seats and majorities of elected executive officeholders in those states, including the governorship of the latter. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. Which ones are more politically competitive? [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. Same for GA senate races Charlie. It is 62 percent Republican, 25 percent Democrat and 13 percent other. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Press Enter to view state-level map. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. The Hill . State voted with the overall winning candidate. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. V4 Stands Against North African and Middle Eastern Invasion, Robo-Advisors: When You Have a Lot More to Lose than Money, FARM AMERICA: New York Citys Finest Cheesemongers, The Fed Independent and Non Political Joins The Resistance, Tucker Carlson Interviews My Favorite Florida Farmer. Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. It feels like the new Florida. These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. How a life-sized Biden could be a larger-than-life president, Three reasons Joe Biden flipped the Midwest, 284,931 cast by those registered as no affiliation/third party/other, About 548,000 mail-in ballots have not been returned as of now but if they are postmarked by Election Day (or there is not a "preponderance of evidence" they were sent after) and received within three days, the state Supreme Court said they must be counted. (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. More than a . If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. Charlie and PA, MI, OH & IL are on track to lose aseat! Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Next is Alabama at No. A new, lower flat income tax rate will take effect in 2023. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. Wisconsin is a swing, or purple, state. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. Global Liquidity Is Increasing Despite the Fed. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. Special elections, if any, are excluded. ", For example, Holly, one example from Jen OMalley Dillon, Bidens campaign manager, that implied they were still counting on Pa could be seen in this quote. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. And West Virginia is losing. Pennsylvania's median household income falls in the middle of the pack. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. Telling tweet from election law expert Rick Hasen: "Biggest surprise of the election watch for me so far: Florida's election administration doesn't make my top 3 of places I'm worried about. Obama also came close to winning Missouri and Montana, losing both by a small margin. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. Data: MIT Election Data and Science Lab / Harvard Dataverse through 2018; 270toWin research. In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. He held his own in . This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Sorry Marc. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. CATO INSTITUTE: Central Bank Digital Currencies Are a Threat to Freedom. In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. It delivered a big margin for Clinton in2016. Good evening from Philadelphia! States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. 10. The cartographer must choose how many classes to use and how to divide the data into those classes. But Pennsylvania is now red. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? Connecticut, Maryland, Delaware, New York and Pennsylvaniaare also among the ten densest states in the US. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai elections. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. List Of Blue States And Red States No. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. [1] Examining patterns within states reveals that the reversal of the two parties' geographic bases has happened at the state level, but it is more complicated locally, with urban-rural divides associated with many of the largest changes.[2]. The answer, of course, is yes they are both of those. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. How red or blue is your state? We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. They think even if it moved a few votes it could be enough to win thestate. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent.